Indonesia is growing rapidly in terms of the economy and demography. At the same time, Indonesia is emitting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and is among the top global emitters. Indonesia has committed to reducing its GHG emissions by 29 percent to up to 41 percent against a business-as-usual level in 2030. However, currently Indonesia does not have a long-term decarbonisation plan in place. Without a long-term strategy (LTS) that looks beyond the next 5–10 years, Indonesia’s growth will face several risks. The consequences of climate change, for instance, are already resulting in agricultural loss, health impacts, and property losses in many areas of Indonesia, and they are expected to increase in frequency and intensity in the future.
This working paper offers a preliminary overview of the benefits and urgency of producing an LTS for climate action in Indonesia and highlights current opportunities to develop an effective strategy. In particular, the paper strives to answer the following questions:
- How urgent is it that Indonesia have a long-term climate strategy?
- Where is Indonesia in the process of developing a long-term climate strategy?
- What lessons can be drawn from existing long-term modelling of Indonesia’s emissions?
- What does the institutional landscape look like for an effective LTS?
- What are some enabling factors for an effective LTS?