Climate Impacts on Nutrition and Labor Supply Disentangled – An Analysis For Rural Areas of Uganda

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Cambridge University Press
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Cambridge University Press

The entire agricultural supply chain, from crop production to food consumption, is expected to suffer significant damages from climate change. This paper empirically investigates the effects of global warming on agricultural labour supply through variation in dietary intake in rural Uganda. It examines labour supply, food consumption, and overall social welfare under various climate change scenarios. Controlling for calorie intake, the study shows that warming has a non-linear impact on agricultural labor supply, with the number of hours worked being optimised at an optimal temperature of 21.3°C. It also suggests that under the high-emissions RCP8.5 scenario, output per adult decreases by 20 percent by the end of the century due to the combined effect of climate change on food consumption and labour supply.

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